NZDUSD H1 Bullish Bat Pattern - 29 July 2011

29 July 2011

Bullish Bat Pattern On NZDUSD Hourly Chart.

This pattern is validate by 50% retracement of XA at B point and 88.6% retracement of AB at C point.

PRZ:
1.27AB=CD @0.8641.
1.618BC @0.8633.
0.886XA @0.8630.




UPDATE

Enter long position at 0.8635. This situation show a sharp reversal after price action testing the PRZ. I had exit my position at 0.8689. The reason is i just don't like hold my position on the last week of the month. As next week is new week of the month, there are many fundamental news which could easily change market sentiment very fast. Usually on 1st week of the month market tends to be indecisive and we could see wild swing as different surprises dominate market sentiment.On August 2 (Tuesday) also will be a deadline for congress to raise debt ceiling in US. Although price action manage to rally higher from my exit point i'm satisfied with this trade. This trade produce me a nice fast 54 pips profit.

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Posted in: Bat,Bullish,NZDUSD

AUDUSD H1 Bullish Bat Pattern - 29 July 2011

29 July 2011

Bullish Bat Pattern On AUDUSD Hourly Chart.

This pattern is validate by 0.50 retracement of XA at B point and 0.886 retracement of AB at C point.

PRZ:
1.618BC @1.0955
0.886XA @1.0948
1.618AB=CD @1.0944

For a summerize,AUDUSD is in the uptrend for quite a long time. This pair just formed a double top of all time high at 1.1075-1.1080.
Convergence of all important fib level at 1.0940-1.0955 will determine if this pair will continues in the predominant uptrend or should reversal is coming.We also have a demand zone at 1.0930-1.0940 just below the PRZ. I will be looking to go long on this pair on the price action testing the PRZ. One thing to remember as B point is below 50% retracement of XA, this pattern could be a Crab pattern if this Bat pattern is fail. However for a Crab pattern PRZ will be more extreme as important fib level will be at 1.618XA which is at 1.0840.

UPDATE

I had enter my long position at 1.0950. Price action struggling challenging PRZ for a few hours. I had been stopout at 1.0915 after PRZ is failed to hold price action from short term downtrend. However sharp reversal could be seen after my stoploss been hit. This is another case of pure friday stoploss hunt for me. I had lost -35 pips in this trade.

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Posted in: AUDUSD,Bat,Bullish

EURCAD H1 Bullish Butterfly Pattern - 19 July 2011

19 July 2011

Bullish Butterfly Pattern On EURCAD Hourly Chart. 
This pattern is validate by 0.786 retracement of XA at B point and 0.618 retracement of AB at C point.

PRZ :
- 1.27AB=CD @1.3450.
- 1.27XA @ 1.3431.
- 2.24BC @ 1.3407.










UPDATE

Trade Details :
Entry : 1.3458
SL     : 1.3400 (58 pips)
Target 1 : 1.3795 (337 pips)
Target 2 : 1.4015 (557 pips)

If this trade play out nicely we had a very good risk reward ratio.

22 July 2011

Strong supply zone at 1.3630-1.3660. If this is break will open all the way to 1.3830.If weekly candle closed above this supply zone, a good sign to achieve my 1st target.









25 July 2011

EURCAD start this week with about 40 pips gap up on the Monday morning. This pair manage to rally untill 1.3700 which is strong physiological level. Still uncertainty in the EUR zone regarding greece issue capped this pair to break 1.3700. Truth is i'm hoping it could break 1.3700 level which had bring me a bad decision based on emotional feeling. Sharp decline in this pair once it failed to to break the 1.3700 level. 
I had closed 2/5 of my position on the 0.382 retracement of reversal trend which is at 1.3619 with 161 pips profit. Remaining position had been lock in profit at 1.3570 below demand zone.However if the demand zone at 1.3575-1.3620 is hold i will be looking to add long position for this pair.

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Posted in: Bullish,Butterfly,EURCAD

EURUSD H1 Bearish BAMM - 19 July 2011

19 July 2011

 BAMM - Bat Action Magnet Move.

Bullish bat is being formed on EURUSD H1 chart. As the B point is below 50% retracement of XA we could catch a trade on the CD leg. This is called as BAMM. Important note is as BAMM to be valid, B point must be less than 50% retacement of XA. Take profit will be at completion of D point which is at 0.886XA.
Price action must continue convincingly until D point is complete.If not, it is best to cover this position that tend to stall after the BAMM is triggered.

Trade Detail :
Entry : 1.4090
SL     : 1.4140 (50 pips)
Target : 1.3890 (200 pips)

UPDATE

Stopout at 1.4140 with -50 pips loss.

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Posted in: BAMM,Bearish,EURUSD

EURCAD H1 Bullish Crab Pattern - 7 July 2011

7 July 2011

Bullish Crab Pattern On EURCAD Hourly Chart.

This pattern is validate by 0.618 retracement of XA at B point and 0.382AB at C point.

PRZ is define by convergence of 1.618AB=CD and 3.618BC at 1.3700 and being complement by 1.618XA for lower limit in the PRZ.

Trade Details :
Entry : 1.3744
SL    : 1.3630 (114 pips)
Target 1 : 1.3850 (106 pips)
Target 2 : 1.3970 (226 pips)

I had entered this trade a little late as i'm waiting for price action to test 1.618XA. Price action manage to decline until 1.3660 about 15 pips from 1.618XA at the D point, then make a sharp reversal. Although in crab pattern it is critical for price action test all level in the PRZ zone, but for me 10-15 pips different is acceptable.Convergence of two important demand zone also had manage to capped price action from a complete test of PRZ. However, as the late execution in this trade, my SL is wider (106 pips) which make i'm only risk 1/3 of my normal lots.

8 July 2011

Exit all position at 1.3759 with 15 pips profit. Just don't like this trade because my entry is quite high. I will see if price action will make a second retest on the PRZ, maybe i can get nice entry there.

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Posted in: Bullish,Crab,EURCAD

EURGBP H1 Bullish Bat Pattern - 7 July 2011

7 July 2011

Bullish Bat Pattern On EURGBP Hourly Chart.

This pattern is validate by 0.382 retracement of XA at B point and 0.50AB at C point.

Convergence of 0.886XA and 3.618BC at 0.8890 define a PRZ for this pattern, while extended 1.618AB=CD at 0.8920 complement the PRZ.

Extra caution if this trade is execute as B point is below 0.382XA this could be an alternate bat pattern. Although 0.886XA is primary retracement in bat pattern, price action could decline to 1.13XA for alternate bat to valid.
11 July 2011

 Trade Details :
Entry 1 : 0.8885
Entry 2 : 0.8863
SL        : 0.8830
Target 1 : 0.8940
Target 2 : 0.9000








UPDATE

Stopout at 0.8830.

Entry 1 : -55 pips loss
Entry 2 : -33 pips loss
Total    : -88 pips loss

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Posted in: Bat,Bullish,EURGBP